India must win at least seven matches to have a real chance at the top two and keep their WTC Final hopes alive. They are currently sixth in the points table with a PCT of 48.15.

Last Updated: 06.06 PM, Dec 27, 2025
For Indian cricket in 2025, the triumphs in the ICC Champions Trophy and Asia Cup have been overshadowed by the real issue: India’s qualification for the World Test Championship (WTC) Final is now in serious doubt. After an unprecedented 0–2 whitewash at home against South Africa, India sits in sixth place on the points table, facing a steep climb to reach the final.
Entering November, India was comfortably positioned in the top three. However, the "Freedom Trophy" series against South Africa turned into a nightmare. A 30-run loss at the Eden Gardens, followed by a crushing 408-run defeat in Guwahati, India’s biggest ever by runs, shattered the team’s momentum.
| Pos. |
Team
|
Played | Won | Lost | Draw | Ded* | Points | PCT (%) |
| 1 |
Australia
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 72 | 85.71 |
| 2 |
New Zealand
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 77.78 |
| 3 |
South Africa
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 75.00 |
| 4 |
Sri Lanka
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 66.67 |
| 5 |
Pakistan
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 50.00 |
| 6 |
India
|
9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 52 | 48.15 |
| 7 |
England
|
9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 38 | 35.19 |
| 8 |
Bangladesh
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16.67 |
| 9 |
West Indies
|
8 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4.17 |
As of December 27, 2025, the WTC standings underline India’s precarious position:
With a PCT of 48.15, India has fallen behind not just the "Big Three," but also Sri Lanka and Pakistan. Having played nine matches, more than any other nation, India’s denominator is high, meaning every future dropped point will be magnified.

The remaining nine Test matches represent a make-or-break situation. India must win at least seven matches to have a real chance at the top two and keep their WTC Final hopes alive.
The schedule ahead is a gauntlet of contrasting conditions:
The transition into the Shubman Gill captaincy era has been baptism by fire. With legends like Rohit Sharma and Virat Kohli having stepped away from the longest format earlier this year, the burden falls on a younger core.
Shubman Gill (950 runs in this cycle) and Mohammed Siraj (39 wickets) have been the standout performers, but the team’s collective consistency has been missing.
The formula for a 2027 Lord’s appearance requires a "perfect storm":
Anything less than six wins and two draws from these nine games will likely see India miss the final for the second consecutive time.
India is no longer the master of its own destiny; they now require other results, specifically slips from New Zealand and South Africa, to go their way.
However, if there is one team that thrives under the pressure of a mathematical "must-win" scenario, it is India. The journey to Lord’s 2027 is now a vertical climb, and the first step begins on the turning tracks of Sri Lanka next summer.